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	<title>Brownsville Tea Party Association &#187; Climate Change</title>
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	<link>http://brownsville.rgvtp.com</link>
	<description>Constitutional Limited Government</description>
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		<title>PBS Ignores Climategate, Laments Lack of World Dictator to Enforce Climate Justice</title>
		<link>http://brownsville.rgvtp.com/2009/12/16/pbs-ignores-climategate-laments-lack-of-world-dictator-to-enforce-climate-justice/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=pbs-ignores-climategate-laments-lack-of-world-dictator-to-enforce-climate-justice</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Dec 2009 11:09:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Climate Change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climategate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corruption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Indoctrination]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AGW]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate Justice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Copenhagen Conference]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://brownsville.rgvtp.com/?p=2555</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The December 14 broadcast of PBS&#8217;s On Point with Tom Ashbrook is titled &#8220;Showdown in Copenhagen,&#8221; which would lead one to believe that opposing parties there are facing off against one another over the role humans have in affecting the global climate.  Nothing could be further from the truth.  In order to fully appreciate this particular broadcast, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The December 14 broadcast of PBS&#8217;s On Point with Tom Ashbrook is titled &#8220;<a href="http://www.onpointradio.org/2009/12/negotiations-in-copenhagen" target="_blank">Showdown in Copenhagen</a>,&#8221; which would lead one to believe that opposing parties there are facing off against one another over the role humans have in affecting the global climate. </p>
<p>Nothing could be further from the truth. </p>
<p>In order to fully appreciate this particular broadcast, the listener must already believe</p>
<ol>
<li>The science on climate change is &#8220;settled,&#8221; the planet is warming, and humans are to blame.</li>
<li>The undeveloped &#8220;poorer&#8221; nations of the world have been shafted by the developed &#8220;richer&#8221; nations and deserve &#8220;climate justice.&#8221;</li>
<li>The chief villians are the United States and China, but (wink-wink, nudge-nudge) &#8211; it&#8217;s really just the United States.</li>
<li>Catastrophe can be ameoliorated, but not averted, only if draconian cuts in carbon emissions are enacted by developed nations (i.e., the United States) <em>immediately</em>.</li>
</ol>
<p>Most of the broadcast was unremarkable because it started with the shared but unspoken proposition that AGW is actually happening and is the result of our pumping huge amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere.  Once that leap has been made, discussion naturally turns to matters involving <em>how</em> to lower carbon emissions as rapidly as possible, <em>which</em> nations are most at fault, and <em>how much </em>the carbon-pulluting developed nations owe the poor, undeveloped nations.  Ashbrook channeled the frustration felt by all<a href="http://www.discoverthenetworks.org/guideDesc.asp?catid=93&amp;type=issue" target="_blank"> leftists</a> when he asked one of his guests</p>
<blockquote><p>When you look at these negotiations, there is no King of the Hill here, there is no single nation that can lay down the law and say &#8216;This is how it&#8217;s going to be,&#8217; is there?</p></blockquote>
<p>Every so often, leftists let slip their affinity for authoritarianism.  If only Mussolini were here, he could play King of Copenhagen and dictate &#8220;This is how it&#8217;s going to be&#8221; to the world.  Wouldn&#8217;t that be great?</p>
<p>Throughout most of the program, Ashbrook completely ignored <a href="http://wattsupwiththat.com/climategate/" target="_blank">Climategate</a> and its impact on the Copenhagen conference.   Finally, about 40 minutes into a 46 minute  broadcast, a caller from Davenport, Iowa, asks</p>
<blockquote><p>Could you guys talk a little bit about how some of the science that mankind is causing global warming, climate change . . . that there are some scientists saying that isn&#8217;t true, and for every scientist or climatologist that says that it&#8217;s man and his SUV causing this &#8220;change,&#8221; there&#8217;s another scientist saying that&#8217;s not necessarily true.  The world is <em>constantly</em> changing, and now that we have this Climategate thing, we have scientists covering up the science that says there is no global warming.</p></blockquote>
<p>Ashbrook immediately dismissed the idea that for every global warming scientist alarmist there is a skeptic.  There are actually many more alarmists than skeptics, which somehow &#8220;proves&#8221; AGW. </p>
<p>Wow, science is <em>easy!  </em>All that is needed to make the fantastic real is consensus.  So, if we can get a plurality of scientists to proclaim &#8220;The earth is flat,&#8221; then &#8211; by George! &#8211; the earth is <em>flat.  </em>Similarly, if we wanted to travel in faster-than-light spaceships, all that is required is a group of scientists to beeeeee-LEEEEEEEEVE in faster-than-light spaceships and  &#8211; KA-<em>ZAMM!</em> &#8211; just like that, it just <em>happens</em>.</p>
<p>Ashbrook&#8217;s guest stammered in response that there will always be dissenters but the bulk of the evidence points towards <em>very </em>damaging effects, which avoids the central question &#8211; why, in light of the Climategate revelations, should we believe <strong>ANY</strong> of the so-called &#8220;evidence&#8221; peddled by the Elmer Gantrys of climate science?</p>
<p>Is it any wonder <a href="http://pewforum.org/docs/?DocID=490" target="_blank">more Democrats than Republicans believe in ghosts and fortune tellers?</a></p>
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		<title>Trouble afoot for high priests (of Climate Change)</title>
		<link>http://brownsville.rgvtp.com/2009/11/27/trouble-afoot-for-high-priests-of-climate-change/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=trouble-afoot-for-high-priests-of-climate-change</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Nov 2009 13:52:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Al Gore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate Change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corruption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ecomarxism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ecostatism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Left Wing Lunacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Liberal Hypocricy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media Bias]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AGW]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climategate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scam of the Century]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://brownsville.rgvtp.com/?p=2341</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[(From the Washington Times) Can this marriage be saved? The union of junk scientists, on the prowl for government handouts to pay for their computer games, and eager politicians sniffing an enormous new source of tax revenue was a match made in a dark alley. The always gullible mainstream media was the guest at the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>(From the <a href="http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2009/nov/27/pruden-trouble-afoot-for-high-priests/" target="_blank">Washington Times</a>)</p>
<p>Can this marriage be saved? The union of junk scientists, on the prowl for government handouts to pay for their computer games, and eager politicians sniffing an enormous new source of tax revenue was a match made in a dark alley. The always gullible mainstream media was the guest at the wedding, and everybody won. Only the public was duped.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2009/nov/27/pruden-trouble-afoot-for-high-priests/" target="_blank">Read More</a></p>
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		<title>Climate fraud continues unraveling</title>
		<link>http://brownsville.rgvtp.com/2009/11/23/climate-fraud-continues-unraveling/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=climate-fraud-continues-unraveling</link>
		<comments>http://brownsville.rgvtp.com/2009/11/23/climate-fraud-continues-unraveling/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2009 15:46:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Climate Change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ecostatism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Left Wing Lunacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AGW]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climategate]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://brownsville.rgvtp.com/?p=2295</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[(From America Thinker) By Thomas Lifson The 62 megabytes of compressed data from one of the world&#8217;s premier climate research organizations continue to be mined for further evidence of fraud, and conspiracy to violate freedom of information laws in the UK and USA. A keyword search engine now exists for the emails. James Delingpole reviews [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>(From <a href="http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2009/11/climate_fraud_continues_unrave.html" target="_blank">America Thinker</a>)</p>
<p>By Thomas Lifson</p>
<p>The 62 megabytes of compressed data from one of the world&#8217;s premier climate research organizations continue to be mined for further evidence of fraud, and conspiracy to violate freedom of information laws in the UK and USA. A keyword <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/">search engine</a> now exists for the emails. James Delingpole <a href="http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100017451/climategate-how-the-msm-reported-the-greatest-scandal-in-modern-science/">reviews</a> the MSM coverage of the biggest scientific scandal in history finds is meager, and focused on skeptics as the only people who really care, more or less.This strategy will not be adequate. The established media no longer have the ability to quarantine embarrassing stories, particularly when they undermine the logic of a trillion dollar green scam. Sooner or later Republicans will find the guts to demand a congressional investigation, as the magnitude of the crimes sinks in. Federal funds were spent by the Hadley Gang.  </p>
<p>Clarice Feldman writes: Doug Ross publishes some incriminating <a href="http://directorblue.blogspot.com/2009/11/milli-vanilli-of-science-hacked-emails.html">CRU emails</a> neither he nor I have seen published elsewhere.</p>
<p>NOTE:  Go to <a href="http://www.climatedepot.com">http://www.climatedepot.com</a> for breaking news on Climategate.</p>
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		<title>‘In 10 Years, It Will Be Warmer.’ Wanna Bet?</title>
		<link>http://brownsville.rgvtp.com/2009/08/29/%e2%80%98in-10-years-it-will-be-warmer-%e2%80%99-wanna-bet/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=%25e2%2580%2598in-10-years-it-will-be-warmer-%25e2%2580%2599-wanna-bet</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Aug 2009 13:08:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Activism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate Change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ecomarxism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Socialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AGW]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al Gore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://brownsville.rgvtp.com/?p=805</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[(From RedState) Posted by Vladimir (Profile) Saturday, August 29th at 7:00AM EDT Scott Armstrong of the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania is co-author of a paper which was presented to the International Symposium on Forecasting in June. The conclusion: “The paper explained the need for simple methods and conservative forecasts in the face [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>(From <a href="http://tinyurl.com/lk3ezv" target="_blank">RedState</a>)</p>
<p>Posted by <a href="http://brownsville.rgvtp.com/vladimir/">Vladimir</a> (<a href="http://brownsville.rgvtp.com/users/vladimir/">Profile</a>)<br />
Saturday, August 29th at 7:00AM EDT</p>
<p><a href="http://jscottarmstrong.com/">Scott Armstrong</a> of the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania is co-author of a paper which was presented to the International Symposium on Forecasting in June. The conclusion: <em>“The paper explained the need for simple methods and conservative forecasts in the face of uncertainty and complexity and pointed out that simple no-change benchmark forecasts are sufficiently accurate for policy decisions. In contrast, simple causal models with CO2 as the policy variable are not credible.”</em></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><span id="more-805"></span><em></em></p>
<p>Prediction markets for temperatures in three and ten years time agree that the no-change forecast is the more likely outcome than the IPCC 0.03C per annum forecast. Finally, similar (analogous) alarms in the past identified by the authors and others turned out to be false alarms. The slides for the talk are available as a <a href="http://kestencgreen.com/forecasting-climate-hk.pptx">PowerPoint file</a> and as a <a href="http://kestencgreen.com/forecasting-climate-hk.pdf">PDF file.</a></p>
<div>
<p>In layman’s terms, Armstrong et al conclude that if you had to bet what the temperature will be in ten years, “the same as today” is a more accurate than any scientific model. And the no-change model is the one they recommend using for climate change policy.</p>
<p>This sounds absurd! Why, there is a well-known Scientific Consensus on man-made global warming! Do you think they’re wrong? Then here’s your chance to make some easy money: <a href="http://www.theclimatebet.com">The Climate Bet.</a> </p>
<blockquote><p>Scott Armstrong of the Wharton School challenges Al Gore $20,000 that he will be able to make more accurate forecasts of annual mean temperatures than those that can be produced by climate models. Scott Armstrong’s forecasts will be based on the naive (no-change) model; that is, the forecasts would be the same as the most recent year prior to the forecasts. The money will be placed in a Charitable Trust to be established at a brokerage house. The charity designated by the winner will receive the total value in the fund when the official award is made at the annual International Symposium on Forecasting in 2018.</p></blockquote>
<p>So far, Al Gore has proffered several reasons for declining the bet. Among the more laughable – “Mr. Gore does not make financial bets”. No, Mr. Gore likes a financial “sure thing’, like being a partner in <a href="”">Kleiner Perkins.</a></p>
<p>But, dear reader, don’t think that this bet is only available to Nobel laureates like Mr. Gore. You, too, can have a financial stake in the outcome! There is an <a href="https://www.intrade.com/index.jsp?request_operation=trade&amp;request_type=action&amp;selConID=680459">Intrade market</a> for the proposition “Gore vs Armstrong”. Betting Armstrong to win costs you $62 right now (to win $100); taking the Gore side of the bet would win $100 on only $38 at risk – over 150% profit! Given the overwhelming scientific consensus behind anthropogenic global warming, how can you possibly say “no” to this proposition?</p>
<p>Paradoxically, over the last 150 or so years, a 10-year forecast of “no change” has been more accurate 68% of the time, despite the fact that the underlying temperature trend is increasing.</p>
<p>[I encourage anyone with a curiosity about climate statistics to examine the linked Powerpoint presentation. It is full of interesting factoids like the following table, which should be titled “Correlation Does Not Imply Causation”. The authors examined several time-series data sets and evaluated each in terms of its correlation coefficient with respect to global temperature.]</p>
<table style="text-align: center; width: 351px; height: 148px;" border="1">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Variable</td>
<td>Correlation</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: left;">Atmospheric CO2 1850-2008</td>
<td>0.86</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: left;">U.S. Postal rates 1885-2009</td>
<td>0.85</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: left;">U.S. Price Index 1850-2009</td>
<td>0.85</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: left;">NOAA* expenditure 1970-2006</td>
<td>0.82</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: left;">Books published in U.S. 1881-2008</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">0.73</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: left;">No change (naïve model)</td>
<td>0.00</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
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